Philosophy and the future of the mesh...
I know that the developers and guys who started it all probably already had this discussion, but I wasn't around then. I came to the party late and am catching up as fast as I can. Part of my joy of this discovery is sharing with others...
I had a conversation with a fellow ham (AKA fellow old fart) recently, talking about how much our hobby has evolved over the years. We grew up building Heathkit kits. Radio Shack was a regular Saturday afternoon adventure when we were kids. Both of us have been around since vacuum tubes – back when REAL radios glowed in the dark! We saw the transition to transistors, then to microchips and then to VLSI and then to “I couldn't solder that if I wanted to!”
A lot has changed... But we still use radio waves to talk to one another.
We got to talking about RTTY and AMTOR and Packet. We got to talking about the coming wave of Mesh networking and how it could change the game for some folks. We also got to talking about how new technology can be and will be used. And how it dies.
I was a satellite chaser for years. Not many people did that. I was one of a group of guys who flew balloons with electronic payloads to the edge of space. Not too many people did that. I got into digital modes and amateur television. Not to many people did that either. But, as we discussed, the question was laughingly posed - “How many hams DONT have a computer now days?!?”
Every one I know does... It's like the radios and computers go together anyway – most of them just don't hook them up together. And if they do, they are down on HF trying to get some DX... They use websites to find the hot spots...
Packet sort of died. It was too slow to be useful for most people. Except for the die hard APRS guys, I don't know too many people that fiddle with packet anymore. It's there. But it isn't the adventure it once was!
ATV sort of up and died... With the switch over to digital TV, and the death of the NTSC standard, most hams went and spent their energies elsewhere. Besides, there's only so many times you can see the inside of one guys shack before it becomes boring...
The satellites have all but disappeared but for some LEO's that don't last very long. There's some broken decrepit hardware still limping along far past its expected lifetime up there. It's a crap shoot as to whether you can work it this pass or the next. You would think by 2015 we would have a geostationary sat up there with people doing data and voice through it all the time! But no... we have cube sats the size of a rubicks cube that last for months and then burn up coming down.
But everybody has a computer... And the internet... And some antenna space...
I see some real potential for HamNet. But its success or failure will be in the philosophy of its implementation...
I know a lot of emergency services guys see all sorts of potential. I see some hobbyists salivating. I see propeller head engineers and software nerds perk up with anticipation. It's not scary – it's Linux...
But as our conversation wore on, we kept coming back to “it aint gonna be a success unless it is FUN!” If it isn't fun to explore, it will probably die like AMTOR and Packet and ATV and Satellite chasing. This new stuff needs to be FUN in order to get other people involved that ARE NOT tech-types!
How do you get young folks interested in Ham radio? Give them something to relate to. My own son yawns when I get to talking about ham radio. But when I start talking about WiFi his ears perk up. That's one of the ways to sucker them into learning about the hobby. Most kids and young people I know today are pretty well versed in computers and the web.
Kids and young people are much more “Monkey see – Monkey do” than other demographics. If they see people doing something interesting, they may want to join in. If you can't show them a network or other people doing something FUN, they probably will just go back to their X-box.
I know I would! Have you SEEN these games these kids are playing now?!? LOL
I know my interest is piqued about HamNet! This is what packet SHOULD have been... But if the only thing I could go out there and see and explore was a rasberry pi phone system for emergency drills in upper Montana... Or a webcam you can't get into because you don't know the super secret pass word. OR a web server that shows the club meeting times for a club in the middle of the frozen tundra of Alaska in February. I probably wouldn't spend much time or energy in playing with this facet of the hobby... Would you?
Content and philosophy of what you put out there becomes an issue... It's what will hook people into thinking this might be something FUN to do. Without it, it is only an exercise to build something that may never be used in an emergency.
My fellow old fart kind of agreed that if this new HamNet thing is going to succeed, it needs to be fun, something exciting to explore and worth poking around and wasting some time on.
He said - “Once the temple is built – we need some dancing girls to draw the crowd in... :)”
Not quite the same thing as Ham radio – but yeah... yeah... I had to agree to the point.
Unless you can show that there is an actual network of people out there doing the same thing, few people will want to try it out. If you don't make it FUN, few people will stick around after trying it. Without interesting content and capabilities, it is just a waste of time for most people...
The philosophy of it all brings about some interesting possible scenarios.
If it is over run with the Emergency Services guys – it will become “Stand by for emergency Traffic!” that never comes... Or when it does, everyone will be more busy trying not to be drowned by the flood than worry about their computer network. If you live in Tornado alley, cowering in the storm shelter is probably more important than erecting an emergency node when the siren in town goes off... After the storm, it could be a useful tool – but what about the 99.9% of the rest of the time?
If it is over run with techno nerds – the non techie-types will not stick around to make things interesting. I showed a friend a map of nodes all over Texas – and his comment was “How do you know what anybody has online?” When I showed him and he asked “How do you search for content?” I told him I had no idea, the network hasn't grown to the point of needing such a thing – but it's coming, just plant that idea in some programmers mind and it will come about!
If there is nothing out there but emergency test beds, web cams that you can't get into and IP phones – why on earth would anyone waste their time in playing with this stuff? I don't want to ring somebody's emergency response line at 3 in the morning just to see if it works...
It becomes apparent that a lot of things will shake out over time. Apps will be written and functionality will evolve, just like the web did. The limit is only the imaginations of those who use it... The future programmers of this mesh we probably haven't met yet. But they are coming – if we get them interested enough!
I think its success or failure will rest upon the philosophy of how it is used... Whether it is FUN or not kind of depends on people like you and I...
I wanna give good content... :)
What do YOU guys think? Give me some input here... :) I LIKE corrupting people!
Bill – N5MBM
|